Historical Reflections on the Notion of “World War”
First
thesis in this paper is: a World War was started in 1756, during the
“Seven Years’ War” that occurred immediately after the “Austrian
Succession War” and has lasted till now. We still experiment the effects
of this 1756 World War and present-day events are far results of the
scheme inaugurated during that remoted 18th century era.
Of
course, it’s impossible to ignore all the dramatic events of the 17th
century, which lead to the situation of the mid-18th century, but it
would make this short paper too exhaustive. Even if Britain could
already master the Western Mediterranean by controling Gibraltar and the
Balears Isles after the “Spanish Succession War”, many British
historians are anyway aware nowadays that British unmistakeable
supremacy was born immediately after the “Seven Years’ War” and that
seapower became the most determining factor for global superiority since
then. Also it would be silly to forget about a certain globalization of
conflicts in the 16th century: Pizzaro conquered the Inca Empire and
stole its gold to finance Charles V’s war against the Ottomans in
Northern Africa, while the Portuguese were invading the shores of the
Indian Ocean, beating the Mameluks’ fleet in front of the Gujarat’s
coasts and waging war against the Yemenite and Somali allies of the
Turks in Abyssinia. The Spaniards, established in the Philippines,
fought successfully against the Chinese pirates, who wanted to disturb
Spanish trade in the Pacific. Ivan IV the Terrible by conquering the
Volga basin till the Caspian made the first steps in the direction of
the Russian conquest of Northern Asia. The war between Christianity (as
defined by Emperor Charles V and Philipp II of Spain) and the Muslims
was indeed a World War but not yet fully coordinated as it would always
be the case after 1759.
For
the British historian Frank McLynn, the British could beat their main
French enemy in 1759 —the fourth year of the “Seven Years’ War”— on four
continents and achieve absolute mastery of the seas. Seapower and sea
warfare means automatically that all main wars become world wars, due to
the technically possible ubiquity of vessels and the necessity to
protect sea routes to Europe (or to any other place in the world), to
transport all kind of materials and to support operating troops on the
continental theatre. In India the Moghul Empire was replaced by British
rule that introduced the harsh discipline of incipient industrialism to a
traditional non hectic society and let the derelict Indian masses —of
which one-third perished during a famine in 1769— produce huge bulks of
cheap goods to submerge the European markets, preventing for many
decades the emerging of a genuine large-scale industry in the main
kingdoms of continental Europe. While France was tied up in a ruinous
war in Europe, the British Prime Minister Pitt could invest a
considerable amount of money in the North American war and defeat the
French in Canada, taking the main strategical bases along the
Saint-Lawrence river and conquering the Great Lakes region, leaving a
giant but isolated Louisiana to the French. From 1759 on, Britain as a
seapower could definitively control the Northern Atlantic Ocean and the
Indian Ocean, even if the French could take revenge by building a new
efficient and modern fleet in the 1770s anyway without regaining full
global power.
The
Treaty of Paris of 1763 marked the end of French domination in India
and Canada, a situation that didn’t preoccupy Louis XV and his mistress
Madame de Pompadour but puzzled the King’s successor, the future Louis
XVI, who is generally considered as a weak monarch only interested in
making slots. This is pure propaganda propagated by the British, the
French revolutionaries and the modern trends in political thought. Louis
XVI was deeply interested in seapower and sea exploration, exactly as
the Russian were when they sent Captain Spangberg who explored the
Kurils and the main Northern Japanese island of Hokkaido in 1738 and
some years or decades later when they sent brilliant sailors and
captains around the world such as Bering and his Lieutenant Tshirikov
—who was the first officer to hoist the Russian imperial flag on the
Pacific coast of Northern America— and Admiral von Krusenstern (who
claimed the Hawai Islands for Russia), Fabian Gottlieb Bellingshausen
(who circumnavigated the Antarctic for the first time in mankind’s
history) and Otto von Kotzebue (who explored Micronesia and Polynesia),
working in coordination with land explorers such as Aleksandr Baranov
who founded twenty-four naval and fishing posts from the Kamtshatka
peninsula to California. If the constant and precious work of these sea
and land explorers would have been carried on ceaselessly, the Pacific
would have become a Russian lake. But fur trade as a single practiced
economical activity was not enough to establish a Russian New World
empire directly linked to the Russian possessions in East Siberia, even
if Tsar Aleksandr I was —exactly as Louis XVI was for France— in favour
of Pacific expension. Tsar Nikolai I, as a strict follower of the
ultraconservative principles of Metternich’s diplomacy, refused all
cooperation with revolutionary Mexico that had rebelled against Spain, a
country protected by the Holy Alliance, which refused of course all
modifications in political regimes in name of a too uncompromising
traditional continuity.
Louis
XVI, after having inherited the crown, started immediately to prepare
revenge in order to nullify the humiliating clauses of the 1763 Paris
Treaty. Ministers Choiseul and Praslin modernized the dockyards,
proposed a better scientific training of the naval officers and favoured
explorations under the leading of able captains like Kerguelen and
Bougainville. On the diplomatic level, they imposed the Spanish alliance
in order to have two fleets totalizing more vessels than the British
fleet, especially if they could table on the Dutch as a third potential
ally. The aim was to build a complete Western European alliance against
British supremacy, while Russia as another latent ally in the East was
trying to concentrate its efforts to control the Black Sea, the Eastern
Mediterranean and the Northern Pacific. This was a genuine, efficient
and pragmatical Eurasianism avant la lettre! The efforts of the
French, Spaniards and Dutch contributed to the American revolt and
independance, as the colonists of the thirteen British colonies on the
East Coast of the present-day US-territory were crushed under a terrible
fiscality coined by non-elected officials to finance the English war
effort. It is a paradox of modern history that traditional powers like
France and Spain contributed to the birth of the most anti-traditional
power that ever existed in mankind’s history. But modernity is born out
the simple existence of a worldwide thalassocracy. The power which
detains seapower (or thalassocracy) is ipso facto the bearer of
modern dissolution as naval systems are not bound to Earth, where men
live, have always lived and created the continuities of living history.
Pitt
,who was governing England at that time, could not tolerate the
constant challenge of the French-Spanish-Dutch alliance, that forced
Britain to dedicate huge budgets to cope with the united will of the
challenging Western European powers. This lethal alliance had to be
broken or the civil peace within the enemies’ borders reduced to nothing
in order to paralyze all fruitful foreign policies. French historians
such as Olivier Blanc put the hypothesis that the riots of the French
Revolution were financed by Pitt’s secret funds in order to annihilate
the danger of the French numerous and efficient vessels. And indeed the
fall of the French monarchy implied the decay of the French fleet: for a
time, vessels were still built in the dockyards to consolidate the
seapower of which Louis XVI dreamt of but as the officers were mainly
noblemen, they were either dismissed or eliminated or compulsed to
emigrate so that there was no enough commanding staff anymore and no
able personnel that could have been easily replaced by conscription as
for the regiments of the land forces. Prof. Bennichon, as a leading
French historian of navies, concludes a recent study of him by saying
that workers in the dockyards of Toulon weren’t paid anymore, they and
their families were starving and consequently looted the wood reserves,
so that the new Republican regime was totally unable to engage the
British forces on sea. Moreover, the new violent and chaotic regime was
unable to find allies in Europe, the Spaniards and the Dutch prefering
to join their forces to the British-lead coalition. The English were
then able to reduce French naval activities to coastal navigation. A
British blocus of the continent could from then on be organized. On the
Mediterranean stage, the French after the battle of Abukir were unable
to repatriate their own troops from Egypt and after Trafalgar unable to
threaten Britain’s coasts or to attempt a landing in rebelling Ireland.
Napoleon didn’t believe in seapower and was finally beaten on the
continent in Leipzig and Waterloo. Prof. Bennichon: “Which
conclusions can we draw from the Franco-British clash (of the 18th
century)? The mastery of seapower implies first of all the long term
existence of a political will. If there is no political will, the
successive interruptions in naval policy compels the unstable regime to
repeated expensive fresh starts without being able in the end to face
emergencies... Fleets cannot be created spontaneously and rapidly in the
quite short time that an emergency situation lasts: they always should
preexist before a conflict breaks out”. Artificially created
interruptions like the French revolution and the civil disorders it
stirred up at the beginning of the 1790s, as they were apparently
instigated by Pitt’s services —or like the Yeltsin era in Russia in the
1990s— have as an obvious purpose to lame long term projects in the
production of efficient armaments and to doom the adverse power plunged
into inefficiency to yield power on the international chessboard.
The
artificially created French revolution can so be perceived as a revenge
for the lost battle of Yorktown in 1783, the very year Empress
Catherine II of Russia had taken Crimea from the Turks. In 1783 the
thalassocratic power in Britain had apparently decided to crush the
French naval power by all secret and unconventional means and to control
the development of Russian naval power in the Eastern Mediterranean and
in the Black Sea, so that Russian seapower couldn’t trespass the limits
of the Bosphorus and interfere in the Eastern Mediterranean. What
concerns explicitly Russia, an anonymous document from a British
government department was issued in 1791 and had as title “Russian
Armament”; it sketched the strategy to adopt in order to keep the
Russian fleet down, as the defeats of the French in the Mediterranean
implied of course the complete British control of this sea area, so that
the whole European continent could be entangled from Norway to
Gibraltar and from Gilbraltar to Syria and Egypt. This brings us to the
conclusion that any single largely dominating seapower is strategically
compelled to meddle into other powers’ internal affairs to create civil
dissension to weaken any candidate challenger. These permanent
interferences —now known as “orange revolutions”— mean permanent war, so
that the birth of a global seapower implies quasi automatically the
emerging process of permanent global war, replacing the previous state
of large numbers of local wars, that couldn’t be thoroughly globalized.
After
Waterloo and the Vienna Conference, Britain had no serious challenger
in Europe anymore but had now as a constant policy to try to keep all
the navies in the world down. The non entirely secured mastery of the
Atlantic and the Indian Oceans and the largely but not completed mastery
of the Mediterranean was indeed the puzzle that British decision-makers
had to solve in order to gain definitively global power. Aiming at
acquiring completely this mastery will be the next needed steps.
Controling already Gibraltar and Malta, trying vainly to annex to
Britain Sicily and Southern Italy, the British had not a complete grasp
on the Eastern Mediterranean area, that could eventually come under
control of a reborn Ottoman Empire or of Russia after a possible push in
direction of the Straights. The struggle for getting control overthere
was thus mainly a preventive struggle against Russia and was, in fact,
the plain application of the strategies settled in the anonymous text of
1791, “Russian Armament”. The Crimean War was a conflict aiming at
containing Russia far northwards beyond the Turkish Straights in order
that the Russian navy would never become able to bring war vessels into
the Eastern Mediterranean and so to occupy Cyprus of Creta and, by
fortifying these insular strong points, to block the planned shortest
highway to India through a future digged canal through one of the
Egyptian isthmuses. The Crimean War was therefore an wide-scale
operation directly or indirectly deduced from the domination of the
Indian Ocean after the French-British clash of 1756-1763 and from the
gradual mastery of the Mediterranean from the Spanish Succession War to
the expulsion of Napoleon’s forces out of the area, with as main
obtained geostrategical asset, the taking over of Malta in 1802-1804.
The mastery of this island, formerly in the hands of the Malta Knights,
allowed the British and the French to benefit from an excellent rear
base to send reinforcements and supplies to Crimea (or “Tavrida” as
Empress Catherine II liked to call this strategic place her generals
conquered in 1783).
The
next step to link the Northern Atlantic Ocean to the Indian Ocean
through the Mediterranean corridor was to dig the Suez Canal, what a
French engineer Ferdinand de Lesseps did in 1869. The British by using
the non military weapon of bank speculation bought all the shares of the
private company having realised the job and managed so to get the
control of the newly created waterway. In 1877 the Rumanians and the
Bulgars revolted against their Turkish sovereign and were helped by
Russian troops that could have reached the coasts of the Aegean Sea and
controled the Marmara Sea and the Straights. The British sent weapons,
military trainers and ships to protect the Turkish capital City from any
possible Bulgarian invasion and occupation in exchange of an acceptance
of British sovereignty on Cyprus, which was settled in 1878. The
complete control of the Mediterranean corridor was acquired by this
poker trick as well as the English domination on Egypt in 1882, allowing
also an outright supervision of the Red Sea from Port Said till Aden
(under British supervision since 1821). The completion of the dubble
mastery upon the Atlantic and the Indian Ocean, that had already been
acquired but was not yet fully secured, made of Britain the main and
uncontested superpower on the Earth in the second half of the 19th
century.
The
question one should ask now is quite simple: “Is a supremacy on the
Atlantic and Indian Oceans and in the Mediterranean area the key to a
complete global power?”. I would answer negatively. The German
geopolitician Karl Haushofer remembered in his memoirs a conversation he
had with Lord Kitchener in India on the way to Japan, where the
Bavarian artillery officer was due to become a military attaché.
Kitchener told Haushofer and his wife that if Germany (that dominated
Micronesia after Spain had sold the huge archipelago just before the
disasters of the American-Spanish war of 1898) and Britain would lost
control of the Pacific after any German-British war, both powers would
be considerably reduced as global actors to the straight benefit of
Japan and the United States. This vision Kitchener disclosed to Karl and
Martha Haushofer in a private conversation in 1909 stressed the
importance of dominating three oceans to become a real global
unchallenged power: the Atlantic, the Pacific and the Indian Ocean. If
there is no added domination of the Pacific the global superpower
dominating the Atlantic, the Mediterranean and the Indian Ocean, i. e.
Britain at the time of Kitchener, will be inevitably challenged, risking
simultaneously to change down and fall back.
In
1909, Russia had sold Alaska to the United States (1867) and had only
reduced ambitions in the Yellow Sea and the Sea of Japan, especially
after the disaster of Tshushima in 1905. France was present in Indochina
but without being able to cut maritime routes dominated by the British.
Britain had Australia and New Zeland as dominions but no strategical
islands in the Middle and the Northern Pacific. The United States had
developped a Pacific strategy since they became a bioceanic power after
having conquered California during the Mexican-American war of 1848. The
several stages of the gradual Pacific strategy elaborated by the United
States were: the results of the Mexican-American War in 1848, i. e. the
conquest of all their Pacific coast; the purchase of Alaska in 1867;
and the events of the year 1898 when they colonized the Philippines
after having waged war against Spain. Even if the Russian Doctor
Schaeffer tried to make of the volcanic archipelago of Hawai a Russian
protectorate in 1817, US American whale hunters used to winter in the
islands so that the islands came gradually under US domination to become
an actual US strong point immediately after the conquest of the
formerly Spanish Philippines in 1898. But as Japan had inherited in
Versailles the sovereignty on Micronesia, the clash foreseen by Lord
Kitchener in 1909 didn’t happen in the Pacific between German and
British forces but during the Second World War between the American and
Japanese navies. In 1945, Micronesia came under American influence, so
that the United States could control the entire Pacific area, the North
Atlantic area and gradually the Indian Ocean, especially when they
finished building a navy and airforce strong point in Diego Garcia in
the very middle part of the Indian Ocean, from where they can now strike
every position along the coasts of the so-called “Monsoon countries”.
According to the present-day American strategist Robert Kaplan, the
control of the “Monsoon lands” will be crucial in the near future, as it
allows the domination of the Indian Ocean linking the Atlantic to the
Pacific where US hegemony is uncontested.
Kaplan’s
book on the “Monsoon area” is indeed the proof that American have
inherited the British strategy in the Indian Ocean but that, contrary to
the British, they also control the Pacific except perhaps the maritime
routes along the Chinese coasts in the South China Sea and the Yellow
Sea, that are protected by a quite efficient Chinese fleet that is
steadily growing in strength and size. They nevertheless are able to
disturb intensely the Chinese vital highways if Taiwan, South Korea or
Vietnam are recruited into a kind of East Asian naval NATO.
What
could be the answer to the challenge of a superpower that controls the
three main oceans of this planet? To create a strategical thought system
that would imitate the naval policy of Choiseul and Louis XVI, i. e.
unite the available forces (for instance the naval forces of the
BRICS-countries) and constantly build up the naval forces in order to
exercice a continuous pressure on the “big navy” so that it finally
risks “imperial overstretch”. Besides, it is also necessary to find
other routes to the Pacific, for instance in the Arctic but we should
know that if we look for such alternative routes the near North American
Arctic bordering powers will be perfectly able to disturb Northern
Siberian Arctic coastal navigation by displaying long range missiles
along their own coast and Groenland.
History
is not closed, despite the prophecies of Francis Fukuyama in the early
1990s. The main problems already spotted by Louis XVI and his brilliant
captains as well as by the Russian explorers of the 18th and 19th
centuries are still actual. And another main idea to remember
constantly: A single World War had been started in 1756 and is not
finished yet, as all the moves on the world chessboard made by the
actual superpower of the time are derived from the results of the double
British victory in India and Canada during the “Seven Years’ War”.
Peace is impossible, is a mere and pure theoretical view as long as a
single power is trying to dominate the three oceans, refusing to accept
the fact that sea routes belong to all mankind.
Robert Steuckers.
(Vorst-Flotzenberg, november 2013).
Bibliography:
-
Philippe Conrad (ed.), “La puissance et la mer”, numéro spécial hors-série (n°7) de La nouvelle revue d’histoire, automne-hiver 2013.
-
Philippe Conrad, “Quand le Pacifique était un lac russe”, in “La puissance et la mer”, op. cit..
-
Philippe Bonnichon, “La rivalité navale franco-anglaise (1755-1805)”, in “La puissance et la mer”, op. cit.
-
Niall Ferguson, Empire – How Britain Made the Modern World, Penguin, Harmondsworth, 2004.
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Richard Harding, Seapower and Naval Warfare – 1650-1830, UCL Press, London, 1999.
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Robert Kaplan, Monsoon – The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power, Random House, New York, 2011.
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Charles King, The Black Sea – A History, Oxford University Press, 2004.
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Frank McLynn, 1759 – The Year Britain BecameMaster of the World, Pimlico, London, 2005.
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Richard Overy, Atlas of 20th Century History, Collins Books, London, 2005.
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Tom Pocock, Battle for Empire – The Very First World War – 1756-63, Caxton Editions, London, 1998.
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Robert Steuckers, “Karl Haushofer: l’itinéraire d’un géopoliticien allemand”, sur: http://robertsteuckers.blogspot.com (juillet 2012).
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